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[Fishing] 'Crocolisks in the City' Achievement

  1. crono999 <Angler>, 6 months ago:

    I've been at this for about a month now! For some reason, this quest isn't showing up at all from ol' man barlo.... Am I missing something here? I've completed all of the quests except for this one.

  2. texasbelliott <Angler>, 6 months ago:

    Same thing happened to me with the "Jewel of the Sewers" daily. I'd been doing the new fishing dailies religiously, and never saw that quest until 3.1.xxxxxxx <-------- (insert game tuning number) hit about a week ago, and now I've complete Jewel 3 times.

    The official line is, "It's completely random". I don't really buy it though. ;-)

  3. crono999 <Angler>, 6 months ago:

    Ok....This is totally wierd but after months of this quest not popping for me, it finally was available today, so I've completed it.

    It's a conspiracy man XD

  4. donquixote235 <Angler>, 6 months ago:

    Random events are random.

    :)

  5. Kamaria <Salty>, 6 months ago:

    I generally only see it once or twice every three weeks.

  6. Pyrephoenix <Angler>, 6 months ago:

    I once talked to a GM about this, regarding the cooking quests (since I was seeing Infused Mushroom Meatloaf upwards of 60% of the time). His comment was "while the quest is chosen at random, the randomness is not necessarily given an equal chance for all available choices." I also asked if this applied to other randomized dailies and was told it does.

    Unfortunately I lost my screenshot of the conversation in a computer meltdown :( otherwise I'd happily crop and share.

  7. Fontaine <Salty>, 6 months ago:

    The old statistics saying "Random does not mean distributed" is in full effect with daily quests.

    Remember you can flip a coin once a day for a month and only see heads 5 times... doesn't mean anything. Make it 5 possibilities instead of just 2 and you can get much crazier results.

    Anglers should know better than to be tricked by pseudo-patterns... I suspect that GM was just confused.

  8. Arutha <Angler>, 5 months ago:

    I think what the GM was trying to say is that every of the 5 daily quests has a different chance to "spawn".
    Lets assume that:
    'The One That Got Away' has 28% ...
    'Shrimpin' Ain't Easy' has 25% ...
    'Crocolisks in the City' has 12% ...
    'Bait Bandits' has 17% ...
    'Felblood Fillet' has 18% ...

    ... Chance to be chosen.

    So you could do /random 100 and say:"'Well if its a number from 1 to 28 it's 'The One That Got Away', from 29 - 53 it's 'Shrimpin' Ain't Easy, from 54 to 65....." and so on.

    So you can't really compare a LaPlace experiment like flipping a coin, with an equal chance for all events, with a 'Bernoulli-chain' (don't know the correct English term, in German it would be 'Bernoulli-Kette'), where you have different chances for each event, but doing the event n-times.

    Hope you understand my English and what I meant. ;)

  9. Fontaine <Salty>, 5 months ago:

    Just seems odd to me that they would have five dailies with basically equal rewards (save the Croc I suppose) and bother to weigh certain dailies to appear more often than others. What's the upside? Certainly it would burn folks out on the primary daily faster.

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