In the Guide you say that you need flying mount to go faster and fish pool by pool. That's wrong, the whole "contest", plays on only the 1ST [FIRST] catch. The whole tournament will last 60seconds, that's why people who complained about the wednesday night thing make me laugh. The usual raider time is 8PM, so Everybody would have been able to change their raiding time to 8:01 PM, fucking big deal....
Record breaking 27min Tjalfe, lol...
The records are gonna be under 60seconds...thats the way blizzard want their "winner"...
Never be proud of any "record" that involve RNG in the totality...
Reasonning :
The droprate of the shark have to be 1% inside a pool... Any higher would proove my point even more. Any lower would not even be possible to anyone to turn in the shark even after the winner is declared, since you can still turn in, for some shit reward. So it's 1%.
Now with a popular contest like that, you can expect between 100 to 1000 people (for the servers with 30k dudes). Let's take that 100 for instance. With 100 people running for the tournament, that mean in average one dude will catch the shark on the first catch. This is mathematics. And that's is what Blizzard have called "healthy" luck. We all know RNG is very healthy....
If you have 1000 dudes now, 10 of them in average will cast the shark in the first catch, meaning that the race to dalaran will be of equal importance.... 15sec to catch the shark, 10sec for hearthstone + 10-20 to turn in. Meaning that classes following will win most of the time :
2- Death Knight (+20% mount speed)
2- Paladin (+20%)
3- Hunter (+10%)
I didnt talk about the #1 standalone class, because it's a mage, beyond competition. With the one catch rule, just wait 15 seconds before the tournament begin, Cast "Portal : Dalaran", the tournament start, hope you roll 100 and catch the shark since it is the ONLY WAY TO WIN, click the portal, turn in, and you won... You have banked 10sec of the hearthstone making you unbeatable.
Thats if you are alone. Now if you have help, you can have a warlock summon you right in front of the npc (still you need to roll 100), and every above can be "traded"... auras, portals.
I also heard that Alliance are actually close to the said NPC, so you can factor all the rankings above with 1 - Alliance 2 - Horde, Apparently alliance don't even need to cast their mount once they get to Dalaran, just use a speed potion or engineering boots or whatever...the npc is near their inn...
This contest requires no skill,no guide, no strategy on where are the best pools etc. That's sad but Blizzard want it that way....
They said the Best fisherman of the week must have an "healthy dash of luck"... That's the winner, the great fisherman of Kalu'ak.
People saying "ah now I have a shot at winning, beside booty bay", no you don't....
1/100 chances factored into any other people that catch the shark on the first catch, is impossible. In fact to catch the shark on your first catch, one occurence, one time. You would need 100 weeks in average thats 2 years. And I'm saying in average, the baron mount have 1%, a few of us, have done more than 100 runs and we dont have it, think carefully about it. You could do that tournament for 2 years without ever winning... Even if you mastered the fishing skill, even you could remember the locations of every single pools of Northrend, which is worthy of a grand winner, there is a lot of chances You will never get it... especially on the biggest servers, I see some with 20k even 30k people....
This is the worst contest they could ever make.... 100% RNG....
Kalu'ak Fishing derby = Rand 500. Can you make 500 right now ? try it. I know I don't have that power.
Eventual good scenario that may not be:
Now they may eventually disguise the tournament with a more elaborate pattern like making the droprate increasingly high with the time that pass by. With let's say 1/10000 the first minute, and so on. This is my little voice in my head telling me "blizzard are not that stupid" "they are actually using the money we give them each months".... Still remain carefull, it will surely invalidate the "dalaran races" with the little tips I gave. But the RNG factor remain almost totally intact, while in Booty bay you still have a decent control over it for lets say pve servers (pvp is a different story). So in that scenario, people will fish around the same fish each, minus malus a few... Maybe some would catch a few more but it would not change much thing. Instead of making a rand 500 you would need rand 400 or 450. This still remain totally random.
In that scenario 280% mounts would be necessary, yes . What about 310% mount, and the auras still remain very important... I have a DK/Paladin myself... But I spit on this advantage we then have.
If Blizzard had a brain, a very good brain : the best mechanics would be that way :
A dynamic droprate that has 2 factors
1- the time since the tournament have started
2- your fishing skill : I firmely are against thoses level 1 being able to win, and dudes that have an insane amount of fishing skill not being able to.
However until now there are never been any dynamic droprate EVER in World of Warcraft, E-V-E-R that's why do not be shocked at all if the "First Catch Winner" rule apply.
We can simply suspect that the droprate is indeed dynamic but may be localized to the pool itself... To get an idea, do you see at Booty Bay contest when after a while the pools do not repop ? That's because the existing pools are still intact but suddenly at X time, there is no new one. Well get that idea, now they can reuse it, and each 5 minutes for example the new pools that appear have an increased droprate, but the old ones eventually would remain with the same droprate....
Why ? Because for me the pool is a mob, ok ? With a preset loot. When you enter a raid instance, the loot of each bosses (and each mob) is alrdy set. That's the same thing.
So you would be very wrong, to actually fish an old pool. Meaning that (again if my theory is right), it would be debatable either fish in an area with a few people but not too many, or a total desert sector. I cant figure out myself which is better.
But the mechanics might be that.
el wrote:
My theory is that a certain number of casts are required before there is a chance to catch the Shark. So, for example, the probability of catching is 0 until you have 40 casts. I also don't know if that would be influenced by switching pool types. Or perhaps it is based on a count of Suckerfish?
And this is totally absurd. Sorry dude :x As I said look at a pool as being a mob lootable by multiple characters, to have the right to loot it, you need to fish it. The absurdity come from the fact that Blizzard wouldn't allow such technology since in short you are saying "if you have not fished 40 fishs, you have no right to win"... They have never used such methods " mr x is a bad dude, so we will make sure he can't loot the thing he wants", this doesn't exist and never will.
For booty bay, it's 40 fish, but it's clear for everybody, if they wanted to use that rule again it wouldn't be one shark. Besides only YOU know you looted 40 fishs, blizzard will not monitor that kind of things to influence what you loot. I think I've covered it all.
Bottom line, if the dynamic droprate verify you have better chance fishing in "fresh" pools. And if by all mighty god you encounter a fishing pool from 30 minutes ago you may very well be inside thoses with the 1/10000 droprate.
But again, before being proven wrong, I still think it might be a "First Catch Winner" rule.
And last thing but not least, whatever is the real rule. The impact of number of fish you loot is negligeable. It's a rand based on the number of people running the contest. If you have looted the most fish, you might get only in 5% better shape than others, but the 95% rest is the rand. So on 100 people, you would need to
1- Fish the most fish
2- Rand 96 97 98 99 or 100
To win.
Which makes it more difficult that the booty bay contest, since that latter one have only the First point valid.
Sorry if my post was too long.