((Advertisement))

[Fishing] Statistic probability?

  1. Basill <Salty Magocrat>, 1 year ago:

    Curious....

    Anyone has any takers on what the chances are to catch the Turtle mount, Dark herring and the Blacktip shark in 1 catch "Catch of the century" ???

    or is it not possible!

  2. Renetta <Salty>, 1 year ago:

    Assuming they are independent probabilities you can just multiply the chance of getting each at the first catch.

    Just making up numbers but let's assume:

    Turtle = 1/5000
    Dark Herring = 1/1000
    Shark = 1/500

    That'd be 1/5000*1/1000*1/500=1/2500000000 (or 1 on 2.5 billion).

    It may be not possible, I thought there was evidence that the way probabilities are calculated is a cascade and that some things are in pots of probability. It could well be that dark herring and turtle specifically are in a pot of a special drop event.

  3. Basill <Salty Magocrat>, 1 year ago:

    Well, the dark herring comes as a suckerfish, so does the Blacktip...but every time I have gotten the turtle (yes I have more than 2 of these shells) she comes alone.. so it might not be achivable... :((((((

  4. Cherel <Angler>, 1 year ago:

    Basill wrote:

    Curious....
    Anyone has any takers on what the chances are to catch the Turtle mount, Dark herring and the Blacktip shark in 1 catch "Catch of the century" ???
    or is it not possible!

    Someone on the regular forums claimed to have gotten the turtle on his first cast. I got it on a DK alt on something like the 2nd or 3rd cast.

No tags/keywords yet... add one:

Reply

You must log in to post.

Forums Index